2023 Bowl Season: Bowl Games Betting Trends

Another college football bowl season is near! The bowl matchups kick off on Saturday, December 16 and the season will wrap up with the College Football Playoff National Championship game on Monday, January 8, at the NRG Stadium in Houston.

The finalists of the title game will be determined by the CFP semifinal games, with the Rose Bowl pitting the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines against the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide and the Sugar Bowl featuring the No. 2 Washington Huskies and No. 3 Texas Longhorns. This will be the final 4-team format before a 12-team bracket is introduced next year. 

Before placing your bets, it’s important to note every factor that comes into play that could tilt the scoreboard. Keep reading to check out the rest of the college football bowl games betting trends, courtesy of our College Football Database.

Bowl Betting Trends

  • In every bowl game except the Pinstripe Bowl (45.5%) and the Cure Bowl (37.5%), the favorites win 50 percent or more of the time. In 25 of 38 bowl games, the underdogs have covered 50 percent or more in the past 10 seasons.
  • 22 listed bowl games have hit the OVER on more than 49 percent of occasions. The highest percentage is the Military Bowl, hammering the scoreboard 76.9 percent of the time since 2008. 

College Football National Championship Game Betting Trends

  • The favorites heading into the championship game carry an 12-5 SU record, winning 70.5 percent of the time.
  • In the last 16 championship matchups, the OVER has hit 10 times. 
  • SEC programs have come out victorious in the championship game in five of the last six seasons.

2023 Bowl Betting Trends

We've got the matchups and we've got the data. Here are some notable betting trends for bowl games you'll need to bet on!

cotton Bowl

missouri vs ohio State
Friday, December 29th
(AT&T Stadium)

The favorite against the spread is 6-1-1 in the last 8 games, covering  85.7% of the time. 
The UNDER is a favorable 19-9 in the last 28 matchups. 
Ohio State is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games as the favourite.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of Ohio State's last 9 games against teams with winning records (Average combined score: 42.78).
Missouri is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against teams with winning records. 

peach Bowl

ole miss vs penn state
saturday, December 30th
(mercedes-benz Stadium)

The underdogs are 13-15 SU (46.4%) and 18-10 ATS (64.3%) in the last 28 Peach Bowl outings. 
The UNDERDOG has gone 4-0 in the last 4 games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Ole Miss's last 7 games (Average combined score: 48.57)
The total has gone UNDER in three of Penn State's last 3 games (Average combined score: 38.0)
Penn State is 20-0 SU in its last 20 games as the favourite (Average score margin: 26.75)

Music city Bowl

auburn vs maryland
saturday, December 30th
(nissan Stadium)

The OVER record is 3-1 in the last 4 games, hammering the scoreboard 75.0% of the time. 
Maryland is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games.
Maryland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games as the underdog (Average score margin: -15.25)
Auburn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games as the favourite (Average score margin: 10.67)

orange Bowl

georgia vs florida state
saturday, December 30th
(hard rock Stadium)

The underdog against the spread is 7-3 in the last 10 games, covering 70.0% of the time. 
Georgia is 27-1 SU in its last 28 games as the favourite (Average score margin: 23.18).
Florida State is 18-0 SU in its last 18 games (Average score margin: 20.72).
Florida State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as the underdog.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Florida State's last 4 games (Average combined score: 34.75).

arizona Bowl

toledo vs wyoming
saturday, December 30th
(arizona Stadium)

In the last seven appearances, the favourites are 4-3 SU and 3-3-1 ATS. 
Just as inconsistent, the Arizona Bowl's OVER record is 3-4, hitting 42.9% of the time.
Toledo is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games as the favourite.
Wyoming is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Toledo's last 7 games as the favourite (Average combined score: 46.0).

ReliaQuest Bowl

wisconsin vs LSU
monday, January 1st
(raymond james Stadium)

The UNDER is a spotless 3-0 in the last three bowl matchups.
Wisconsin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games as the underdog.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LSU's last 13 games as the favourite (Average combined score: 70.77).
LSU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
LSU is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games as the favourite.

citrus Bowl

iowa vs tennessee
monday, January 1st
(camping world Stadium)

In the last 27 Citrus Bowls, the favorites steal the show with going 19-8 SU and winning 70.4% of the time. 
Even better, the favorites are 7-1-1 ATS (87.5%) in the last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Iowa's last 8 games (Average combined score: 24.12).
Tennessee is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games.
The total has gone OVER in three of Tennessee's last 4 games as the favourite (Average combined score: 59.25).

fiesta Bowl

liberty vs oregon
monday, January 1st
(state farm Stadium)

The favorites in the Fiesta Bowl are an even 14-14 ATS. 
In the last six outings, the favorites have dominated going 5-1 ATS, covering a sturdy 83.3% of the time. 
Likewise, the OVER has seen a trend recently, going 7-3 over the last 20 games.
Liberty is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games against teams with winning records (Average score margin: 19.75).
Oregon is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
Oregon is 24-2 SU in its last 26 games as the favourite (Average score margin: 18.58).

rose Bowl (cFP Semifinal)

alabama vs michigan
monday, January 1st
(rose bowl)

The favorites have kept things steady, going 19-9 SU in the last 28 Rose Bowls. They have won outright 67.9% of the time. 
However, the underdog have kept it close by going 4-1 ATS in the last five recent matchups.
The OVER is a trendy 8-2 over the last 10 meetings. 
Alabama is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games against teams with winning records (Average score margin: 12.0).
The total has gone OVER in seven of Michigan's last 9 games against teams with winning records (Average combined score: 50.0).
Alabama is 3-1 SU in its last 4 games vs Michigan (Average score margin: 12.0).
Alabama is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games vs Michigan.

sugar Bowl (cFP Semifinal)

texas vs washington
monday, January 1st
(caesars superdome)

The UNDER is favorable in the Sugar Bowl, going 6-2 in the last eight matchups.
The OVER record is 2-6 (25.0%) in the last 8 games.
Washington is 20-0 SU in its last 20 games (Average score margin: 13.9).
The total has gone UNDER in three of Washington's last 3 games against teams with winning records (Average combined score: 50.67).
Texas is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games.

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