Per the 2024 Democratic Nominee Odds, Kamala Harris is overwhelmingly favored at -600. According to the odds, Michelle Obama is the next-closest challenger at a distant +900.
2024 Democratic Nominee Odds
Odds as of July 22
2024 Democratic Party Nominee Odds: Kamala Harris
After getting the nod from Biden as he stepped down, Kamala Harris jumped to the top of the DNC odds board. Her odds of winning the Presidential Election also jumped to +190. Harris now has a month to shore up support within the Democratic Party before the convention in Chicago.
That support is growing. Go through the list of names on our odds board and you'll see that most of them have thrown their endorsement behind Kamala Harris.
Hillary Clinton quickly put her support behind Harris. So did Andy Beshear, Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer. Michelle Obama is the only name on our board that hasn't endorsed Harris — yet.
But don't let that silence stand out. Michelle Obama has gone on the record saying she does not want to be President. Not endorsing Harris yet isn't a sign she's going to run. Michelle Obama endorsed Joe Biden there's no reason to think she won't endorse Kamala Harris eventually.
With most of the field firmly behind Kamala Harris, there's no reason to think the Democratic Nominee will be anyone but her. She's got this locked up.
2024 Democratic Vice-President Odds
Odds as of July 22
The front-runner is Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro at +200. There are a few reasons why Shapiro might get the 'Veep' nod.
Shapiro has a recent track record of beating a Trump-endorsed candidate with his recent victory. He defeated State Senator Doug Mastriano with nearly a million votes in 2022. Doing so in Pennsylvania (a swing state) is extra appealing. Coming from the East he also brings geographical balance to a ticket with Harris (California – West).
I like Andy Beshear as a dark horse name on this list. At 46, he's a polar opposite to Biden who turns 82 this year. Adding him to Harris's campaign would signify a youth movement in the Democratic Party. He's also popular in a typically red state (Kentucky) winning the Governorship with 53% of the vote in 2023.