We're serving up the NFL upsets of Week 11 on a platter. The unpredictability of the NFL means that upsets are always on the horizon. In the wide world of NFL betting, analyzing which favored teams are most vulnerable to stumbling should be one of your first exercises each week. Thankfully, Odds Shark is here every week of the NFL season with our greatest NFL upsets of the week.
From under-the-radar matchups to potential shockers, dive into the key games where NFL underdogs could rise and favorites might fall. We went 1-1 last week with Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers coming through for us with the win in Washington. Let's dive into my NFL Week 11 upset picks.
NFL Week 11 Upset Pick #1: Pittsburgh Steelers (+142) vs Baltimore Ravens
We'll back the ol' reliable Steelers once again in Week 11.
Yes, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens look unstoppable. He's the NFL MVP frontrunner for a reason. But keep in mind, the Steelers have had Lamar's number as of late, as Jackson is just 2-4 SU against Tomlin's Steelers all-time. The Steelers defense is fifth in rushing EPA allowed this season, and surrender just 87.4 yards per game. If Pittsburgh can limit Derrick Henry's impact, as Cincinnati did for large portions of last week's game, the Ravens are beatable.
Additionally, Mike Tomlin's coaching record at home is impeccable. The Steelers are 20-6-3 ATS as a home dog in Tomlin's coaching career, and 18-11 SU. Plus, Pittsburgh is a perfect 3-0 both SU and ATS as an underdog this season. Back the Steelers to continue that trend and come out on top at home.
NFL Week 11 Upset Pick #2: Kansas City Chiefs (+114) vs Buffalo Bills
Can anyone stop the undefeated Chiefs? That question will be put to the test against Josh Allen and the ever dangerous Buffalo Bills on Sunday.
However, Patrick Mahomes is unbelievable as an underdog. He's gone 12-1-1 ATS and 11-3 SU as an underdog in his career as the Chiefs starter. The Chiefs have won eight straight road games, and are 4-1 SU in their last five matchups with the Bills. Moreover, Mahomes play has steadily improved as this season has progressed. He's now thrown for six touchdowns with just one interception across the last three weeks.
Back Mahomes and the Chiefs to keep their momentum rolling in Week 11.