The Winnipeg Jets face the Colorado Avalanche in a first-round playoff rematch from last year. The Jets are destroying the league with a 12-1-0 record but are only -140 home favorites at BET99 while Colorado is +120 road dogs.
While I think Winnipeg wins here, there's better value in betting on the OVER which has hit 12 times in the last 17 meetings (71%) between these two, BET99 has OVER 6.5 goals at -115.
Avalanche vs Jets Odds
Odds as of November 7 at BET99
Avalanche vs Jets Picks
OVER 6.5 Goals (-115) at BET99
With all of Colorado's injuries, they're having a hard time keeping the puck out of the net, with an average of 4.4 goals against in their last five games. Combine that dreadful defense with some exceptional offensive contributions from Nathan MacKinnon and his league-high 25 points. Tt's no surprise that the OVER hit in Colorado's last five games. OVER 1.5 points for MacKinnon is -130 at BET99.
Winnipeg is no stranger to the OVER, with the total going above six goals six times in their last seven games (+4.9 units of profit) doing so mainly by themselves scoring an average of five goals in that stretch. Gabriel Vilardi has stepped up big with an active five-game point streak, and BET99 has O0.5 points for Vilardi at -130.
With how good the offense is on both sides of the ice, OVER 6.5 goals seems like a wise bet specifically with -115 odds, that's $8.70 of profit on a $10 bet.
Avalanche vs Jets Player Props
Nikolaj Ehlers O0.5 Points (-160) at BET99
I'm drawn to Ehlers's OVER 0.5 points prop at -160 odds like a moth to a flame. We're talking about a player averaging 1.31 points per game this season and, as Outlier points out, has gone OVER 0.5 points in eight of his last 10 games.
Ehlers has been great against Colorado scoring in his last three regular-season meetings with the Avs and averaging 1.7 points. Most of Ehlers's production comes from 5on5 play (77%), which is where Colorado is dreadful with the sixth-highest goals-against rate in the league at 2.99 goals against per game.
Ehlers should easily find space against a still heavily injured Avalanche squad and get, at least, a single point.
Avalanche vs Jets Betting Trends
- Winnipeg is 20-1SU in their last 20 regular season games, dating back to last season, and 16-0 in their last 16 as favorites. BET99 has the Jets at -140 on the moneyline
- The Jets have covered a -1.5 puckline five times in their last eight games. The -1.5 Jets puckline is +160 at BET99.
- Artturi Lehkonen has OVER 0.5 points in nine of his last 10 road games. BET99 has O0.5 points for Lehkonen at -145.