I'm breaking down the Broncos vs Saints odds for Week 7 below, with New Orleans sitting as slight favorites.

The sportsbooks don't see a Spencer Rattler vs Bo Nix contest resulting in many points, setting the line at just O/U 37.5. But, I could see a surprising amount of offense.

Let's take a look at the latest Broncos vs Saints odds and picks below:

Broncos vs Saints Odds Week 7

As of October 17th at Caesars Sportsbook

Broncos vs Saints Picks Week 7

OVER 37.5 Points (-105)

I get that a Bo Nix vs Spencer Rattler QB battle doesn't scream points, but 37.5 is still way too low for this one. The Broncos have gone OVER this mark in both of the last two weeks, averaging 45.5 total points across those games. The Saints have gone OVER this mark in five of the six contests this season. Even with Derek Carr hurt last week, the Saints still scored 27 points and had 78 total points scored in a loss to the Buccaneers.

This game will probably be messy with two rookie QBs, but that doesn't mean there won't be more than 37 points.

The Broncos may also be without CB1 Patrick Surtain II this weekend, which should make for more points than usual.

Broncos vs Saints Prop Pick

Bo Nix OVER 188.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Another reason this game is going OVER is because Bo Nix is going to have a big day. The Broncos QB has quietly gotten better and better as the season has gone along, throwing for four touchdowns, one interception, and averaging 211 yards the last two weeks. He's gone OVER this 188.5 passing yard mark in four of his last five games (from Outlier's NFL Insights below). Another key for this OVER is the fact that the Saints have let up the third-most passing yards in football this season, allowing an average of 277.5 per game.

Broncos vs Saints News

There is one major news story to watch in the coming days, which is the concussion to Broncos CB Patrick Surtain II. The Denver DB is arguably the best corner in football right now, so taking him out of the Broncos secondary changes that defense a lot. However, if you're betting the OVER it probably doesn't impact your wager much.

Broncos vs Saints Betting Trends