Mile High Stadium will host one of the hottest division matchups of this NFL season on Sunday night when the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos, who are both 7-3, meet in the first half of their two-game season series.
- The Chiefs are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against teams in the AFC West.
- The Broncos are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against the Chiefs.
- The total has gone UNDER in the Chiefs' last 6 games.
This game opened with the smallest total on the board and with the third- and ninth-rated DVOA defenses facing off, that seems to make sense. The Broncos are 0-2 when they’ve given up more than 250 passing yards but the Chiefs are averaging just 235.9 passing yards per game and Denver has given up just 194.3 per game.
It seems very unlikely the banged-up Chiefs produce much offense against these stingy Broncos after putting up an average of just 18.67 points per game in their last three games, which came against the Jaguars, Panthers and Buccaneers – teams who have all given up 24.6 or more points per game this season.
The Broncos have not been scoring much themselves and if they hold KC to under 14 points like I’m expecting them to, this game has a really good chance to go UNDER. This spread may be a tough one and I’d suggest saving this game for the final button on your Sunday teaser.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The point spread was settled in at -3.5 for the host Denver Broncos earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook. The over under betting line was hovering around 40.5, with odds movement expected during the week at Sportsbook.
Odds Shark prediction models pick the Broncos to win this game on Sunday 24-22. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Betting fans of the Denver Broncos have seen them go 7-3 and 7-3 ATS so far this season, while the Kansas City Chiefs are at 7-3 and 4-6 ATS. In over under totals betting, the Kansas City Chiefs are 2-8, while the Denver Broncos are 5-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Denver vs Kansas City injuries news.
According to the Power Rankings here at Odds Shark it's the No. 4-rated Denver Broncos and the No. 10-rated Kansas City Chiefs in this matchup.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Denver's No. 14-ranked offense, averaging 23.9 PPG, against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 5 this week at 18.7 PPG. The Broncos aerial game is averaging 227.3 yards per game, less than the Chiefs secondary allows through the air, 252.6 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs feature the league's No. 12-rated road run defense, allowing 103 yards per game. The Denver Broncos, meanwhile, ranks No. 10 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Kansas City lost its last outing 19-17 against Tampa Bay on Sunday, getting a 108-yard receiving performance from Travis Kelce in a losing cause at Arrowhead Stadium.
Trevor Siemian threw a pair of TD passes in Denver's last match, defeating New Orleans 25-23 in Week 10 action on Sunday.
- Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
- Kansas City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
- Kansas City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
- Denver is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
- Denver is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
- Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Kansas City at Atlanta, Sunday, December 4th
Denver at Jacksonville, Sunday, December 4th