Week 1 games can be a bit tricky to handicap since all the data we have to analyze dates back to last season, but one trend that’s impossible to ignore is the Cowboys’ atrocious 1-7-1 ATS record over their last nine games at home. They welcome the Giants to Texas on Sunday, and will also be looking to turn the tide on a 2-5 ATS mark against them when the teams meet in Dallas.
All eyes will be on Dak Prescott who’ll be filling in for Tony Romo for the foreseeable future. Despite their home ATS struggles, Dallas has gone 5-1 SU in its last six vs the Giants with four of those six games being decided by five points or less. Also of note regarding recent matchups between the teams is that they’ve hit the OVER in seven straight games against each other.
The Giants have been an absolute dud in recent Week 1 games, as they’ve gone 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS. They’ll have a new man calling the shots this year though, as former offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo replaced Tom Coughlin in the offseason. It’ll be the same look under center with Eli Manning playing his 24th career game vs the Cowboys. He struggled against them in two games last season, combining for just 363 yards and zero touchdowns.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Betting fans looking to side with the Dallas Cowboys in this one found them as -4-point favorites earlier in the week at [custom Sportsbook-link], while the total was sitting at 49.5.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 25-18 win for the Cowboys. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Dallas Cowboys sit at 4-12 (4-11-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the New York Giants are currently 6-10 (8-7-1 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Dallas is 6-10 OU, and New York is 11-5 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Dallas vs New York injuries news.
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Dallas Cowboys at No. 26 and the New York Giants at No. 21 heading into this contest.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Dallas's No. 31-ranked offense, averaging 17.19 PPG, against a Giants defense that ranks No. 30 this week at 27.62 PPG. The Cowboys aerial game is averaging 216.94 yards per game, less than the Giants secondary allows through the air, 299.44 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the New York Giants own the league's No. 22-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 122.5 yards per game when on the road. Dallas, on the other hand, rates No. 20 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Eli Manning led the way last time out for the Giants, connecting for 302 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 35-30 loss to the Giants at MetLife Stadium.
In their last game, the Cowboys got 3 passing scores out of Kellen Moore, but lost 34-23 to the Redskins on Sunday at AT&T Stadium.
Next Betting Matchups
New York home to New Orleans, Sunday, September 18th
Dallas at Washington, Sunday, September 18th