After two consecutive wins and covers on the road, the Atlanta Falcons will hope to keep the good times rolling when they return home to host their division rival, the Carolina Panthers. Betting on the Falcons at home has been a disaster, though, as they’ve only been able to cover the spread once in their last seven home games.
- The Falcons are 6-2 SU in their last eight home games vs the Panthers.
- The Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Falcons.
- Cam Newton had a 107.2 QB rating in two games vs ATL last season.
It hasn’t been a strong start to the season for Carolina. They had a 14-game home winning streak snapped last week as 6-point favorites vs the Vikings, joining the Cardinals and Seahawks as NFC heavyweights who are off to slow starts. They opened as 3-point favorites for the game and it just so has it that three of their last four road games have been decided by three points of less.
Although they’ve been on a slide at home, the Falcons have been profitable as home underdogs, posting a 6-1 ATS record as home dogs going back to 2013. These teams faced off last December in Atlanta with the Falcons closing at +7. They went on to win the game 20-13, handing the Panthers their first loss of the season.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
On the Sportsbook betting line for this matchup, the Atlanta Falcons sat as 3-point underdogs at shops such as Sportsbook. The total, has been pegged by the odds makers at Sportsbook at 46.
Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 26-20 result in favor of the Falcons. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Supporters of the Carolina Panthers have seen them go 1-2 and 1-2 ATS so far this season, while the Atlanta Falcons are at 2-1 and 2-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Falcons are 3-0, while the Panthers are 2-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Atlanta vs Carolina injuries news.
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Atlanta Falcons at No. 20 and the Carolina Panthers at No. 2 heading into this contest.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Atlanta's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 34.67 PPG, against a Panthers defense that ranks No. 18 this week at 23.33 PPG. The Falcons aerial game is averaging 312 yards per game, more than the Panthers secondary allows through the air, 183 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Carolina Panthers feature the league's No. 27-rated road run defense, allowing 148 yards per game. The Atlanta Falcons, meanwhile, ranks No. 30 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Panthers suffered a Week 3 loss against Minnesota in their last game, falling 22-10 at Bank of America Stadium.
Tevin Coleman sliced and diced the New Orleans defense for 3 touchdowns as the Atlanta won their last game, handling the Saints 45-32 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
- Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
- Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
- Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
- Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina
- Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
- Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
Next Betting Matchups
Carolina home to Tampa Bay, Monday, October 10th
Atlanta at Denver, Sunday, October 9th