The Philadelphia Flyers are +165 dogs at BET99 as they travel to Alberta's capital to dance with the Edmonton Oilers who are -200 favorites and the total is set at 6.5 goals. Philly has been as expected with a 0.500 record through two games, while McDavid's Oilers are far from Stanley Cup favorites with a pathetic 0-3-0 start to the year.
We also cooked up a three-leg same-game parlay where the OVER hits, the Flyers cover, and McDavid scores a few points with mouth-watering +475 odds.
Flyers vs Oilers Odds
Odds as of October 15 BET99
Flyers vs Oilers Picks Tonight
Oilers ML (-200)
Edmonton might have lost their first three home games of the 24-25 season, but they've outshot their opponents with 58% of the shots and 62% of the shot attempts and they've also out-chanced those same opponents with 53% of the xG. They are playing well enough to win and oddsmakers don't disagree by giving the winless Oilers a 67% implied chance of winning at -200.
Meanwhile, the Flyers might have a 0.500 record on the road, but they've been the opposite of good with a pedestrian 48% CF, 46% HDCF and 48% xG. If not for Travis Konecny shooting at an absurdly high 22%, Philly is likely 0-2. They are by no means playing well enough to be confident they can get a 'dub' in Edmonton. Not to mention that since 2015, Torts is 2-5SU in Edmonton so it is clear that Tortorella's hard-working style can't stop Connor McDavid and the speedy Oilers.
Keep an eye on McDavid in this one, specifically in the goal-scoring department because McDavid is due. He holds a team-high 1.02 xG but has yet to score on the season. When playing at home against Philly, McDavid averages a goal a game (eight goals in eight games). McDavid has great anytime goal odds at +130 at BET99.
Even though the odds are -200 for the Oilers to win tonight I'm not shying away. With how Edmonton is dominating and how Philadelphia is, with all due respect, coasting on Knoceny's success, the Oilers on the moneyline is a guaranteed hit.
Flyers vs Oilers BET99 Same-Game Parlay +475
SGP Leg 1 – OVER 6.5 goals: With only three goals on the year, I get that the Oilers haven't found their offensive touch yet but they will find it tonight against a poor Flyers team. I already pointed out that Philly is bleeding opportunities with that 48% xG thanks to the 10th-worst xGA/60 in the league at 3.41. That's exactly what the Oilers need to get their groove back offensively and run up the score. With Torts's "never give up" style, there's no doubt his Flyers will find enough offense to help the total exceed 6.5 goals.
SGP Leg 2 – Flyers +1.5: That "never give up" style made the Flyers the fourth-best team on the puckline when underdogs with a 36-10 record (78%) last season. In that same season, the Flyers were 9-0 against the puckline when their opponents were at least -200 favorites as Edmonton is tonight.
SGP Leg 3 – McDavid O1.5 Points: McDavid has averaged over two points per game against the Flyers with 31 in 15 career games. When at home against the Flyers, he has eight goals and 14 assists for 22 points in eight games which is an average of 2.75 points per game. The trend says McDavid will easily clear OVER 1.5 points tonight.
Flyers Vs Oilers Prop Bet: Matvei Michkov O0.5 Points (-105)
Michkov got his first NHL point the other night in Calgary by assisting on a Travis Konecny power play goal, tonight he will get his second NHL point against a poor Edmonton penalty kill.
With this being the last night of the Oilers' four-game home stand to open the year Edmonton's team leadership will demand a win tonight. Edmonton will be playing aggressively and likely take a few ill-advised penalties. Michkov who plays on Philly's PP1 unit will get chances to put his elite puck skills and vision to the test against an Oilers PK that's a pathetic 44%. He'll get at least one point tonight.