The Old White at The Greenbrier Resort is perhaps the most storied course that LIV Golf visits, a 1918 masterpiece with holes modeled after the likes of St. Andrews and Prestwick in Scotland. It was designed by the great Charles Blair MacDonald, updated in the 1920s by the great Seth Raynor, and played host to the Ryder Cup in 1979. And last year, Bryson DeChambeau basically set it on fire.

The two-time U.S. Open champion absolutely torched the place last August, firing a Sunday 12-under 58 and a three-day total of 22-under—both records for the brief history of the shorts-and-shotgun-start set. He added a Saturday 61 for good measure. That victory in White Sulphur Springs, W. Va., was the first on LIV Golf for DeChambeau, who followed it up with another two tournaments later. But he hasn’t won on his home tour since.

For all his heroics at Pinehurst, DeChambeau has yet to claim an individual LIV Golf title in 2024—the closest he’s come was a T3 at Nashville, one week after his U.S. Open victory. Eighth in the standings, he also needs a big push to make the final top three, which share a $30 million bonus pool. That effort begins Friday, back at The Greenbrier, where DeChambeau opened as the No. 2 odds favorite behind Jon Rahm, who scored his first LIV triumph in the circuit’s most recent event three weeks ago.

LIV Golf Greenbrier Odds

Odds as of August 13

LIV Golf Greenbrier Best Bets

Jon Rahm might be favored but my bet is one player further down the oddsboard to win this year's Greenbrier.

Joaquin Newmann To Win (+790)

Yes, DeChambeau went very low at Greenbrier last season. But so did a lot of other guys, given that 44 of the 47 players who finished the tournament broke par. Twenty-two of those were 10-under or lower. And then there’s Niemann, the LIV Golf championship leader, who was 21- under—at a PGA Tour event he won at Old White in 2019. Niemann has also been the class of LIV Golf all season, notching top-three finishes in two of his last three starts, and is overdue to win for the first time since March.

Jon Rahm Top 5 (+140)

Which Rahm will we get: the one who claimed his maiden LIV title in England by one shot over Niemann, Tyrrell Hatton, and Cameron Smith, or the one who blew a three-shot lead on the back nine in the final round of the Olympic tournament? Easily the most combustible LIV golfer out there, Rahm was surely fuming in the aftermath of Paris. But he’s also finished in the top 10 of all 10 of his LIV starts thus far, and has been top-five in four of his last six.

Bryson DeChambeau Top 10 (-163)

DeChambeau is typical of many of the big-name LIV players in that it’s easy to question his motivation when there’s no major title on the line. How else to explain a guy who finished sixth or better in each of the season’s first three majors, but still hasn’t won a LIV title in 2024? There’s zero consistency to DeChambeau’s play in LIV; he was 18th or worse, after all, in his three starts prior to Pinehurst. Sure, he could rip up Old White again this week. But if you’re wagering, a top-10 hedge seems a better play for a guy who’s been T3, ninth and T11 his last three times out.

LIV Golf Greenbrier Betting Tips

While Rahm may be the circuit’s most recent winner, the hottest player on LIV Golf right now might be Tyrrell Hatton, who won at Nashville and then finished third and T2 his next two times out. But that runner-up finish in England was a frustrating one, given that Hatton three-putted the 18th hole on Sunday to blow the lead and hand the title to the Spaniard.

Former Open Championship winner Cameron Smith has finally begun to show some signs of life on the LIV tour, running off three consecutive top-10s including a tie for second in the UK. Paul Casey has been ninth or better in three of his last four starts, and opened with +140 odds of cracking the top-10 at the Greenbrier. And former major champion Louis Oosthuizen has been sixth or better in his last two, his first hint of consistency all season.

Everyone else is a crapshoot; Talor Gooch T45 one week and T6 the next, Sergio Garcia from first to T20, and on and on. With few exceptions, it’s very hard to know what you’re getting from one week to the next, which makes the relative consistency shown by Niemann and Rahm (and to a lesser degree, Hatton) so valuable to sports bettors. And with just one individual event remaining in 2024, that’s not going to change until next year at the earliest.