Embarrassed by two straight losses the Toronto Maple Leafs head to TD Garden to face the slumping Boston Bruins. Toronto is -105 on the moneyline per BET99 with Boston favored at -115.
Toronto will be motivated to change its current 0-7 regular season record against the Bruins and to atone for shocking losses to the Columbus Blue Jackets and St. Louis Blues. Tonight, they finally get a regular season win over the Bruins
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Odds Tonight
Odds as of October 25 at BET99
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Picks Tonight
Maple Leafs ML (-105)
The Leafs need a win after losing to Columbus and St. Louis and allowing a combined 11 goals in those two games, an arguably soft matchup awaits Toronto against a Bruins side that's lost three straight. Per Outlier, not only have the Bruins dropped three straight but they're 4-8SU (33%) in their last 12 games as favorites.
Boston will have confidence thanks to that seven-game regular season win streak over the Leafs, but that confidence is misplaced with how poorly they're playing. Outside of that current three-game skid to prove their shoddiness, Boston holds the fifth-worst 5on5 xG% at 45.34% and the eighth-worst defensive record at 3.63 goals against per game. With all those goals it's no surprise Boston has seen the OVER 63% this season. OVER 6.5 goals is +108 at BET99.
Toronto has come alive against teams that leak xG like the Bruins, earlier this year Toronto pulled out back-to-back 4-2 wins over the Devils and Penguins who are second and third, respectively for 5on5 xGA this season. A motivated Leafs side should have no problem securing a win over this Bruins team.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Player Prop Tonight
David Pastrnak O4.5 shots (+125)
David Pastrnak leads all Bruins skaters in shots vs Toronto with 35 since 2022-23, an average of 4.375 per game, an average that holds with 4.00 shots in his last four games against Toronto.
The Czech forward has started the year brightly with 35 shots in eight games, an average of 4.375. With Toronto allowing the 12th-most shots in the league at an average of 29.38 per game, Pasta will see his total go above 3.5 SOG.
Maple Leafs vs Bruins Betting Trends
- Boston is 2-5SU in their last seven home games. Another trend points toward a Leafs win on the moneyline. Remember, they're +100 to win at BET99.
- John Tavares is on a three-game point streak with three points. All of those points are assists.
- If you plan on fading my take you'll be happy to know that Toronto is 1-5SU in their last six Saturday games. So maybe you want to jump on the BET99's -120 line for the Bruins straight-up.