The UFC’s biggest fight of all time is happening on October 6 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada between Conor “The Notorious” McGregor and Khabib “The Eagle” Nurmagomedov. The two engaged in their first press conference on September 20 with McGregor seemingly gaining the upper hand with his constant verbal onslaught that may have agitated the stoic Nurmagomedov. Yet, it is still Khabib as a -165 favorite over Conor, who is coming back at +135 straight-up odds to win this superfight.
The book is out on how these two warriors fight and how they like to engage their opponents, so betting the moneyline for who is going to win may not be of excitement to you. Don’t worry, though, Sportsbook has a list of prop bets that are providing better juice if you can nail exactly how this fight will play out.
Prop Bets that I really like
There are a few prop bets that I like from the list below that are providing good juice. The only way that I can see McGregor winning this fight is via knockout early, the longer the fight goes, the more the momentum swings toward Khabib. For this reason, McGregor to win in Round 1 at +400 is a good play.
The second prop bet that I think is worth a wager follows along the same train of thought as the first point and that is Khabib gets stronger as the fight goes on, but has failed to put guys away. Six of his 10 UFC career bouts have gone to decision and that is at +325 for this fight.
The odds continue to increase as the fight goes on and I think that Khabib may want to finish McGregor to make a statement but he will have to drag him into deep water to accomplish this. We saw Conor in serious trouble in the fifth round against Nate Diaz and if he looks the same way against Khabib the fight will be ended. So, at +1200 for Khabib to win in Round 5 also seems worth a wager.
Lastly, Sportsbook has released more prop bets that are different from the actual play out of the fight. The one prop that I really like is Bruce Buffer's tie for the main event and the bow tie has -400 odds which I think is a slam dunk bet. The standard tie is coming back at +250.
Fight to Complete 1 Full Round
Yes (Fight completes 1 full round) -270
No (Fight does not complete 1 full round) +185
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Fight to Complete 2 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight completes 2 full rounds) -115
No (Fight does not complete 2 full rounds) -125
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Fight to complete 3 full rounds
Yes (Fight completes 3 full rounds) +135
No (Fight does not complete 3 full rounds) -190
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Fight to complete 4 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight completes 4 full rounds) +185
No (Fight does not complete 5 full rounds) -270
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Will the Fight go the Distance?
Yes (Fight goes the distance) +240
No (Fight does not go the distance) -375
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Total Rounds
OVER 2.5 Rounds -105
UNDER 2.5 Rounds -135
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Method of Victory
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by decision or technical decision +325
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by KO, TKO or DQ +280
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by submission +290
Conor McGregor wins by decision or technical decision +900
Conor McGregor wins by KO, TKO or DQ +160
Conor McGregor wins by submission +2000
Draw or Technical draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Method of Victory 5 rounds
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins inside distance +110
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by 5 round decision +325
Conor McGregor wins inside distance +165
Conor McGregor wins by 5 round decision +900
Draw or Technical draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Round Betting 5 Rounds
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 1 +550
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 2 +650
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 3 +900
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 4 +1000
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 5 +1200
Khabib Nurmagomedov on points +325
Conor McGregor in Round 1 +400
Conor McGregor in Round 2 +600
Conor McGregor in Round 3 +1200
Conor McGregor in Round 4 +2000
Conor McGregor in Round 5 +3000
Conor McGregor on points +900
Draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Bruce Buffer's Tie for Main Event
Bow Tie -400
Standard Tie +250
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Dana white at post fight conference
Over 4.5 Literally +120
Under 4.5 Literally -160
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Dana White in Octagon after Main event
Wears Black Jacket -250
Does Not Wear Black Jacket +170
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Joe Rogan at Post Fight Octagon Interview
Wears Khabib's Papakha -160
Does Not Wear Khabib's Papakha +120
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
McGregor at Post Fight Octagon Interview
OVER 2.5 F-Bombs -110
UNDER 2.5 F-Bombs -130
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
McGregor at Post Fight Press Conference
McGregor Wears Sunglasses +200
McGregor Does Not Wear Sunglasses -300
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
McGregor at Post Fight Press Conference
Says Proper Twelve +115
Does Not Say Proper Twelve -155
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
McGregor at Post Fight Press Conference
Bottle of Proper Twelve Whiskey -180
No Bottle of Proper Twelve Whiskey +140
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
McGregor to do the Billionaire Strut
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Time Spent on Introduction of McGregor vs Khabib
Over 2 Min 49 Sec -120
UNDER 2 Min 49 Sec -120
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Who will bleed first in the fight?
Khabib Nurmagomedov -135
Conor McGregor -105
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Who will have more significant strikes?
Khabib Nurmagomedov +105
Conor McGregor -145
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Will Conor McGregor Land a takedown?
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Points Handicap
Khabib Nurmagomedov -5.5 -135
Conor McGregor +5.5 -105
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Combined All Scorecards. If either fighter wins inside distance, they will be graded the Sportsbook regardless of spread.
Round 1 Exact outcome
KO, TKO or DQ win in Round 1 +270
Submission win in Round 1 +550
Fight goes to Round 2 -270
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Round 2 Exact Outcome
KO, TKO or DQ win in Round 2 +475
Submission win in Round 2 +1000
Fight goes to Round 3 -115
No Round 2 in the fight +185
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Round 3 Exact Outcome
KO, TKO or DQ win in Round 3 +750
Submission win in Round 3 +1600
Fight goes to Round 4 +135
No Round 3 in the fight -125
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Round 4 Exact Outcome
KO, TKO, or DQ win in Round 4 +900
Submission win in Round 4 +1800
Fight goes to Round 5 +185
No Round 4 in the fight -190
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Round 5 Exact Outcome
KO, TKO, or DQ win in Round 5 +1100
Submission win in Round 5 +2000
Fight goes the distance +240
No Round 5 in the fight -270
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Will they touch gloves at the start of Round 1?
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Will either fighter lose a point?
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Will there be an altercation after the fight?
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
How Will the Fight End?
Either fighter wins by KO, TKO, or DQ -160
Either fighter wins by submission +225
Either fighter wins by decision +240
Draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Who will have more knockdowns
Khabib Nurmagomedov +200
Conor McGregor -300
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Who will have the longest walk out
Khabib Nurmagomedov +145
Conor McGregor -205
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Who will throw the first strike?
Khabib Nurmagomedov +110
Conor McGregor -155
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Will McGregor bring a bottle of his whiskey in the walk out
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Double Chance
Khabib Nurmagomedov by Submission or Decision +130
Khabib Nurmagomedov by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission +110
Khabib Nurmagomedov by KO/TKO/DQ or Decision +175
Conor McGregor by Submission or Decision +1100
Conor McGregor by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission +165
Conor McGregor by KO/TKO/DQ or Decision +175
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Will both fighters land the same amount of takedowns
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Who will record the most takedowns
Khabib Nurmagomedov -.5 Takedowns -500
Conor McGregor +.5 Takedowns +300
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
who will record the most takedowns
Khabib Nurmagomedov +.5 Takedowns -1400
Conor McGregor -.5 Takedowns +575
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Exact Method of Victory
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 1 by Submission +950
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 2 by Submission +1400
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 3 by Submission +1600
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 4 by Submission +1800
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 5 by Submission +2500
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 1 by KO, TKO or DQ +650
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 2 by KO, TKO or DQ +850
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 3 by KO, TKO or DQ +1200
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 4 by KO, TKO or DQ +1400
Khabib Nurmagomedov in Round 5 by KO, TKO or DQ +1800
Khabib Nurmagomedov by Decision +325
Conor McGregor in Round 1 by Submission +5000
Conor McGregor in Round 2 by Submission +6600
Conor McGregor in Round 3 by Submission +6600
Conor McGregor in Round 4 by Submission +8000
Conor McGregor in Round 5 by Submission +10000
Conor McGregor in Round 1 by KO, TKO or DQ +450
Conor McGregor in Round 2 by KO, TKO or DQ +650
Conor McGregor in Round 3 by KO, TKO or DQ +1600
Conor McGregor in Round 4 by KO, TKO or DQ +2500
Conor McGregor in Round 5 by KO, TKO or DQ +4000
Conor McGregor by Decision +900
Draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Round group betting
Khabib Nurmagomedov Wins in Round 1 or 2 +275
Khabib Nurmagomedov Wins in Rounds 3 or 4 +450
Khabib Nurmagomedov Wins in Round 5 or by 5 Round Decision +700
Conor McGregor Wins in Round 1 or 2 +220
Conor McGregor Wins in Rounds 3 or 4 +700
Conor McGregor Wins in Round 5 or by 5 Round Decision +850
Draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Total Rounds
Over 0.5 Rounds -625
Under 0.5 Rounds +350
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
total Rounds
Over 1.5 Rounds -175
Under 1.5 Rounds +125
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
total rounds
Over 3.5 Rounds +190
Under 3.5 Rounds -280
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Total Rounds
Over 4.5 Rounds +235
Under 4.5 Rounds -360
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
Method of Victory
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by Unanimous Decision +425
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by Split or Majority Decision +1000
Conor McGregor wins by Unanimous Decision +900
Conor McGregor wins by Split or Majority Decision +2200
Fight Does Not Go To Decision -375
Draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
When will the fight end
00:00 – 02:29 of Round 1 +450
02:30 – 05:00 of Round 1 +500
00:00 – 02:29 of Round 2 +600
02:30 – 05:00 of Round 2 +600
00:00 – 02:29 of Round 3 +850
02:30 – 05:00 of Round 3 +850
00:00 – 02:29 of Round 4 +1100
02:30 – 05:00 of Round 4 +1200
00:00 – 02:29 of Round 5 +1800
02:30 – 05:00 of Round 5 +1800
Fight Goes Distance +240
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook
When will the fight end
Either fighter wins in Round 1 +220
Either fighter wins in Round 2 +333
Either fighter wins in Round 3 +500
Either fighter wins in Round 4 +800
Either fighter wins in Round 5 +1200
Fight Goes Distance +240
Draw +6600
Odds as of October 6 at Sportsbook