I'll break down our MLB live in-game betting cheat sheet below to help you make your wagers after the first pitch. We've got the best teams when scoring first and leading late, as well as the best comeback squads in baseball.
Here's the latest MLB live in-game betting data:
Best MLB Teams When Leading
All profits are from pre-game outright lines, for a $100 unit size.
Guardians Profitable With Lead
With baseball's best bullpen, the Cleveland Guardians are 72-2 when leading after the seventh inning this year. Emmanuel Clase leads the 'pen with a 0.67 ERA and is set to lead the AL in saves for a third-straight season. But, there are plenty of other options for late-game lockdowns in Cleveland.
That bullpen is the reason the Guardians currently find themselves inside the top 10 in World Series odds (+1200). Cleveland's ability to seal the deal with a late lead will become extremely important in tight October games, but it can also win you a pretty penny by live-betting.
If you're looking for other bullpens to bet on (or fade) check out our bullpen betting trends breakdown.
Best MLB Teams When Losing
All profits are from pre-game outright lines, for $100 unit size.
Rangers Not Showing Resilience
The Rangers were a fun and spunky team that could rattle off massive innings of offense last year. In 2024, that spark has gone out.
It makes sense to find dreadful teams like the White Sox and Athletics at the bottom of this comebacks list, but the Rangers are right there with the worst. Texas has won just six of 63 games when they're losing after seven innings this year. So, don't spend your live-betting dollars wagering on a Rangers comeback. Look instead to teams like the Brewers, Cardinals, and Rays — who all have over 15 comebacks after the fifth inning this year.
More Live MLB Betting Tips
Here are a few more general trends to keep in mind when making in-game baseball wagers:
- How is the bullpen of the team you’re betting on performing? If it’s been locking down opposing offenses and is injury-free, don’t hesitate to pull the trigger. We’ve broken down the best bullpens in baseball to bet on and fade.
- Live betting is often all about timing. Did the big favorite go down by a run in the first inning? If so, this might be a spot to jump on as they’ll be offering much better odds than they were before the game.
- Sometimes a starting pitcher just doesn’t have it. His velocity is down and his breaking balls aren’t moving the way they should be. Pay close attention to the in-game commentary as this could indicate that the pitcher could implode in upcoming innings.
- Did any players leave the game due to injury or they were pinch-hit for? This could have a major impact on a team’s ability to score runs.