NBA Underdog Betting Report

Odds Shark's NBA underdog betting report will be your top resource for analyzing trends, patterns, records, and profits when each of the Association's 30 teams aren't favored to prevail upon entering a matchup. 

Here's a look at all of the data from this past season to help you get prepared for similar circumstances once the 2024-25 regular season gets underway in October. 

2023-24 NBA Underdog SU Team Report 

Team Underdog Win % SU Record Profit
New Orleans Pelicans 56.2 18-14 +$1135.0
Indiana Pacers 51.3 20-19 +$1405.24
Oklahoma City Thunder 47.6 10-11 +$165.0
Minnesota Timberwolves 45.0 9-11 +$100.0
Phoenix Suns 42.9 9-12 +$145.0
Sacramento Kings 42.9 12-16 +$0.72
Los Angeles Lakers 41.7 15-21 +$650.91
Denver Nuggets 40.0 4-6 +$270.0
New York Knicks 40.0 14-21 -$150.0
Orlando Magic 39.5 17-26 +$40.0
Chicago Bulls 38.8 19-30 +$480.0
Cleveland Cavaliers 37.9 11-18 +$375.0
Dallas Mavericks 36.7 11-19 -$539.52
Golden State Warriors 33.3 9-18 -$619.09
Boston Celtics 33.3 1-2 -$60.0
Houston Rockets 31.4 16-35 -$784.76
Miami Heat 31.4 11-24 -$525.0
Memphis Grizzlies 30.8 20-45 +$695.0
Atlanta Hawks 30.0 12-28 -$160.0
Utah Jazz 28.6 18-45 -$570.0
Philadelphia 76ers 27.3 9-24 -$520.0
Milwaukee Bucks 26.7 4-11 -$600.0
Portland Trail Blazers 26.3 20-56 -$914.76
Los Angeles Clippers 26.3 5-14 -$490.0
Charlotte Hornets 23.7 18-58 +$205.0
Brooklyn Nets 23.6 13-42 -$2084.52
San Antonio Spurs 20.5 15-58 -$1195.0
Toronto Raptors 19.0 11-47 -$2379.76
Washington Wizards 17.8 13-60 -$2424.09
Detroit Pistons 15.1 11-62 -$3135.0

The New Orleans Pelicans teetered the line of being an upper-echelon team in the packed Western Conference or being more of a pretender than a contender, which was great for bettors wagering on them as underdogs but not so much when it came to actually competing for the Larry O'Brien trophy.

They accumulated the strongest win-loss record as underdogs and the second-most profit overall going 18-14 SU before ultimately bowing out in the play-in tournament. New Orleans also joined the Indiana Pacers as the only squads to win as underdogs over 50 percent of the time. 

2023-24 NBA Underdog ATS Team Report 

Team Underdog Win % ATS Record Profit
Golden State Warriors 66.7 18-9 +$736.38
New Orleans Pelicans 64.5 20-11-1 +$714.25
Sacramento Kings 60.7 17-11 +$445.47
Indiana Pacers 59.5 22-15-2 +$500.02
Orlando Magic 55.8 24-19 +$281.84
Oklahoma City Thunder 55.0 11-9-1 +$100.01
Minnesota Timberwolves 55.0 11-9 +$100.01
Memphis Grizzlies 52.3 34-31 -$0.4
Chicago Bulls 52.1 25-23-1 -$22.92
Portland Trail Blazers 52.0 39-36-1 -$58.46
Detroit Pistons 51.4 37-35-1 -$136.33
San Antonio Spurs 50.7 37-36 -$240.28
Denver Nuggets 50.0 5-5 -$45.45
Houston Rockets 50.0 25-25-1 -$222.92
Los Angeles Lakers 50.0 18-18 -$163.62
Washington Wizards 50.0 35-35-3 -$318.15
Miami Heat 48.6 17-18 -$258.48
Cleveland Cavaliers 48.3 14-15 -$227.26
Phoenix Suns 47.6 10-11 -$190.9
Utah Jazz 47.6 30-33 -$572.7
New York Knicks 47.1 16-18-1 -$349.39
Philadelphia 76ers 46.9 15-17-1 -$335.97
Dallas Mavericks 46.7 14-16 -$327.26
Charlotte Hornets 43.4 33-43 -$1299.97
Toronto Raptors 42.1 24-33-1 -$1113.83
Milwaukee Bucks 40.0 6-9 -$354.54
Brooklyn Nets 38.5 20-32-3 -$1385.75
Atlanta Hawks 35.0 14-26 -$1327.26
Boston Celtics 33.3 1-2 -$109.09
Los Angeles Clippers 31.6 6-13 -$754.54

Unlike in the SU moneyline market, far more teams found a means to success covering the spread as an underdog as opposed to winning straight up. Unlike in that market where only two teams had records above the .500 mark, here in ATS, over half of the league went 50 percent or better. 

The Golden State Warriors were the strongest overall covering over one-third of the time, followed by New Orleans as two of only three teams with a winning efficiency greater than 60 percent.

2023-24 NBA Underdog Report – Days Of The Week 

Day Underdog ATS Underdog ATS Profit Underdog SU Underdog SU Profit
Monday 91-81-1 (52.9%) +$177.52 59-114 (34.1%) +$1101.39
Tuesday 61-80-3 (43.3%) -$2458.44 36-108 (25.0%) -$2628.85
Wednesday 117-112-4 (51.1%) -$562.77 75-158 (32.2%) -$2924.52
Thursday 65-66 (49.6%) -$686.52 38-93 (29.0%) -$24.76
Friday 115-107-2 (51.8%) -$241.02 73-151 (32.6%) -$864.76
Saturday 72-85-2 (45.9%) -$1962.38 52-107 (32.7%) -$2488.61
Sunday 77-82-5 (48.4%) -$1203.88 42-122 (25.6%) -$3654.52

This report chronicling underdog success on particular days of the week is more to assess specific patterns, as there's no logical reason as to why one particular day would have a better hit rate than others. For example, with Tuesday and Saturday being outliers, all other days fall within roughly a five-percent difference of each other both ATS and SU, although Monday is the only day where profit was earned in 2023-24 for either market.

2023-24 NBA Underdog SU Records

Situation Underdog SU Records Profits
OVERALL 375-853 (30.5%) -$11484.63
HOME 140-326 (30.0%) -$6991.07
ROAD 235-527 (30.8%) -$4493.56
LAST 7 DAYS 375-853 (30.5%) -$11484.63
LAST 14 DAYS 375-853 (30.5%) -$11484.63
LAST 30 DAYS 375-853 (30.5%) -$11484.63
Pre-All-Star 0-0 (0%) +$0.0
Post-All-Star 375-853 (30.5%) -$11484.63

2023-24 NBA Underdog ATS Records

Situation Underdog ATS Records Profits
OVERALL 598-613-17 (49.4%) -$6937.49
HOME 218-239-9 (47.7%) -$4081.24
ROAD 380-374-8 (50.4%) -$2856.25
LAST 7 DAYS 598-613-17 (49.4%) -$6937.49
LAST 14 DAYS 598-613-17 (49.4%) -$6937.49
LAST 30 DAYS 598-613-17 (49.4%) -$6937.49
Pre-All-Star 0-0 (0%) +$0.0
Post-All-Star 598-613-17 (49.4%) -$6937.49

2024-25 NBA Betting Reports

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