- Kemi Badenoch 7/2 (22% chance)
- Penny Mordaunt 7/1 (13% chance)
- Priti Patel 15/2 (12% chance)
- Tom Tugendhat 15/2 (12% chance)
- Suella Braverman 10/1 (9% chance)
- James Cleverly 12/1 (8% chance)
- Nigel Farage 11/1 (8% chance)
"On the Betfair Exchange, Mordaunt has come up trumps, elbowing Suella Braverman, Tom Tugendhat, and Priti Patel out of the way to come second in the market to become next Conservative leader. She is now 7/1 (13% chance) to become the next Conservative leader, from 10/1 (9% chance) yesterday before the debate"
"The Navy reservist stuck to her guns during the debate, sparring with Angela Rayner and insisting that the Prime Minister had apologised for his D-Day blunder, and that people should move on."
"Despite her improving chances of becoming next Conservative leader, her odds of winning her Portsmouth North seat have worsened. Labour are 4/6 (60% chance) to win her seat, with Mordaunt trailing at 6/5 (45% chance)."
"Outside of the runners and riders to succeed Rishi Sunak, punters were unmoved by the seven-way debate hosted by the BBC last night, suggesting that such set-piece events do little to move the dial in the middle of a frenetic election campaign."