We've got a rematch! Alex Pereira is a -150 favorite over Jiri Prochazka (+125 underdog) in a fight for the light heavyweight title at UFC 303.
The Prochazka-Pereira bout comes as a short-notice replacement after Conor McGregor pulled out of UFC 303 due to injury.
Here's our full Pereira vs Prochazka 2 preview, featuring odds and best bets.
Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Odds
Odds as of June 28
Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on Pereira at -150 pays out $166.67. The same $100 on Prochazka nets $225.
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How To Watch UFC 303: Pereira vs prochazka 2
UFC 303 Betting Preview: How Prochazka Wins
Prochazka must trade simultaneously as Pereira while remembering how dangerous the champ is. This is no easy task. At UFC 295, Jiri backed "Poatan" into the corner but got too loose, swinging away and eating a nasty elbow that knocked him out cold.
Pereira is still incredibly vulnerable to the right overhand, especially when his hands are down and he's throwing punches of his own. Prochazka can win this fight by staying light on his feet to neutralize the Brazilian's leg kicks and then engaging in slightly cautious striking exchanges.
Prochazka SU is the way to go. There's no reason to get greedy and bet on a finish.
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UFC 303 Betting Preview: How Pereira Wins
Pereira wins by keeping Jiri in his sights. It favors Poatan to usher this fight into chaos, where Jiri will see red and start swinging away. The champ's punches are shorter and way more powerful, almost guaranteeing he'll get there first. A quick move of the head might give Jiri an opening to crack Pereira with an overhand counter, but Pereira knows Jiri well after their first fight.
Alex's recipe to victory is tried and true at this point: crunch leg kicks, get your opponent moving backward, and set up the check hook. I like Pereira SU at -175, but I understand the desire to bet him by KO as well. The value on fight week will answer if I'm betting Pereira ML or by KO.
Pereira vs prochazka 2 Picks at UFC 303
My best bet is for Pereira to win (-150 odds) and for this fight to end UNDER 2.5 rounds.