Rangers vs Leafs Picks And Odds: Goals Galore As Total Hits

The New York Rangers visit Scotiabank Arena to skate with the Toronto Maple Leafs in an Original Six matchup Saturday night. With both teams collecting three wins through their first four respective games, BET99 has set the line close with the visiting Rangers a +110 underdog while the Leafs are -130 on their moneyline.

It's a clash of offensive giants as the Toronto Maple Leafs (rank 10th for goals with 3.50 per game) face off against the New York Rangers (rank first with five goals per game). As such, BET99 has the total at 6 goals with the OVER juiced to -120, a bet I'll happily jump on.

Also, BET99 has be pre-built same-game parlay that lends itself nicely to my OVER as they have Artemi Panarin and Auston Matthews to score a goal at +315.

Rangers vs Maple Leafs Odds Tonight

Odds as of October 18 at BET99

Rangers vs Maple Leafs Picks

OVER 6 Goals (-120)

Both teams have the offense to push the total above six goals. New York is a scoring machine this year with no fewer in each of their four games. Meanwhile, outside of an embarrassing opening night shutout, the Leafs' offense has rebounded with 14 goals in three games.

With New York and Toronto in the top half of the league for quality chances allowed (xGA/60), neither team is as good defensively as the book believes they are by not having this as the highest total on the board. The Rangers' 5on5 xGA/60 is 2.92, the sixth highest in the league while the Leafs is 2.74, the 13th-highest.

Given the number of quality chances both teams give up, I bet their snipers feast and run up the score to seven goals or more. Both teams have excellent shooters, Auston Matthews has already won three scoring titles in his still-young career while the Rangers have Artemi Panarin who's scoring on 45.5% of his shots this season. With that stupidly high shooting percentage, the breadman would make for a good anytime-goal bet which BET99 has at +125.

In the Rangers' last 17 games in Toronto the total has gone OVER 12 times (71%), this Saturday's game will make it 13 times in 18 games.

Rangers vs Leafs Player Prop Tonight

Alexis Lafreniere OVER 0.5 Points (-115) at BET99

Betting on Lafreniere's points total is a good idea, especially when the line at BET99 is just 0.5 (-115). The former first-overall pick has begun the year with points in four straight games and was excellent against the Leafs last year scoring four points in three games.  

Lafreniere is averaging an extra minute of 5on5 time now that he's on the top line with Panarin. Playing alongside an elite player like Panarin who scored 49 goals and 120 points last year is a big reason for Laff's production surge. He will surely produce with the game going OVER 6 goals and being attached to Panarin's hip.

Rangers vs Leafs Betting Trends

  • The Rangers are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against Eastern Conference opponents
  • New York has covered a +1.5 puckline 17 (85%) in their last 20 games as dogs. You can get them at -220 on the +1.5 puckline at BET99
  • Toronto is 4-6 SU in their last 10 games as home favorites

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