Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Odds & Picks: Leafs Break Poor Trend Against Detroit

It's an original six matchup in Toronto with the Maple Leafs battling the Detroit Red Wings at Scotibank Arena tonight. BET99 has the Leafs as -190 home favorites, action that I'll happily take even if the Red Wings are 4-1SU in their last five against the Leafs.

If you think we'll see a goalie battle tonight BET99 has an interesting goalie parlay with OVER 29.5 saves for both Anthony Stolarz and Alex Lyon at +550.

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Odds

Odds as of November 8th at BET99

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Picks

Toronto Maple Leafs ML (-190) at BET99

After a morale-boosting 4-0 win over the Boston Bruins, a team the Leafs hadn't beaten in seven regular-season games, Toronto is in the right mindset to pick up another win tonight against the Detroit Red Wings who are a tricky opponent for the Leafs winning four of the last five meetings.

But the Leafs have proven to be trend breakers early this year, not only did they beat the Bruins for the first time in eight games but they're the only team to defeat the 13-1-0 Winnipeg Jets this season. 

The Bruins game also proved that Toronto can score even with Auston Matthews out of the lineup, Morgan Rielly was a big presence in that win with three points. OVER 0.5 points for Rielly is -120 at BET99.

I understand that Detroit is coming off 2-1 and 3-1 wins against the Sabres and Blackhawks, respectively, but that isn't much of a challenge, with both teams holding losing records this season. Detroit is still 6-6SU on the season and has the 22nd-ranked offense (2.75 GF/G) and the eighth-worst defensive record on the road since the 2023-24 season. It's easy to like the Leafs to win this one at home.

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Player Prop

Alex DeBrincat OVER 0.5 Points (-135) at BET99

Alex DeBrincat is in a rich vein of form scoring a point in three straight games and in five of his last six games per Outlier. 

DeBrincat Points - Novmber 8

DeBrincat is loving life next to Dylan Larkin scoring four goals and adding an assist in 143 minutes of 5on5 ice time, Larkin has been a beast against the Leafs with nine points in his last eight games. Toronto might be coming off a shut out but they've allowed an average of 3.86 goals in their previous seven games, while attached to Larkin's hip, DeBrincat should easily notch at least one point tonight against this porous Leafs squad.

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 4-1SU in their last five against Toronto and 5-2SU in their last seven road games.
  • The UNDER is 4-2 in last six games between Toronto and Detroit. UNDER six goals is -105 at BET99.
  • The Leafs are 3-5 in their last eight games against puckline as favorites while Detroit is 13-5 vs the puckline in their last 18 as dogs. The +1.5 puckline for Detroit is -160 tonight at BET 99.

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