The Buffalo Bills opened up as a 7.5-point favorite at FanDuel over the Tennessee Titans in a Week 7 contest with the Over/Under total in this game set at 42.5. After everyone watched the Buffs squeeze past the Jets, and the Titans lose at home to the Colts, the line jumped up to -8.5 points. The total opened at 42.5 and since both teams came in with low totals, the O/U has ticked down to 41.5 points.

We do have some history for this AFC matchup but you have to go back to the 2022 season. The Bills hosted the Titans as an 11-point favorite and put the SQUISH on Tennessee with a 41-7 blowout. The total was listed at 47.5 which went UNDER by a hook.

Looking ahead, the Bills fly out to Seattle to battle the Seahawks while the Titans head to Motown for a date with the Detroit Lions.

Tennessee Titans vs Buffalo Bills Odds Week 7

Odds as of Oct. 16 at FanDuel

Titans vs Bills Picks — Week 7

Bills -8.5 (-110) at FanDuel

Not impressed with Buffalo's recent three game run and certainly not impressed with QB Josh Allen. The Bills have lost two of the last three and Allen has NOT come up aces. More like a pair of deuces.

Against the Ravens, Allen was just 16 of 29 (55.2%) for 180 yards with 0 TDs and 0 INTs. Against the Texans, Josh was, are you holding your nose, 9 of 30 (30.0%) for 131 yards with just 1 TD and 0 INTs. And on Monday night against the Jets, Allen was a little better, hitting on 19 of 25 (76.0%) for 215 yards with 2 TDs and 0 INTs. Still not playing like a QB that signed a $258 million extension in 2021.

However, we will cut the Buffs and Allen a break because all three of those games were on the road. At home, it's a TOTALLY different narrative. Like two wins with a combined score of 81-38.

Speaking of a different narrative, not gonna throw all the poison arrows at Allen because he has not had much to work with at WR or TE. Dalton Kincaid grabbed six balls last week, but has only 21 in six games. Khalil Shakir has 20 catches while Curtis Samuel and Keon Coleman both have just 12.

So I'm wondering how Buffalo can get out of this mess? Well it's almost as if head coach Sean McDermott and GM Brandon Beane were sitting over my shoulder while I type. Then BOOM! The Bills traded for/rescued WR Amari Cooper from Cleveland. Even with a lackluster Deshaun Watson at QB, Cooper has more receptions this season (24) than anyone on Buffalo. And in his glorious 10 year career, Coop has gone OVER seventy catches seven times and has raced past 1,000 receiving yards seven times as well. If you see Josh Allen smiling like the Joker, now you know why.

Ya gotta check out these numbers that Buffalo has posted coming home off a road game. Start with this season and after a roadie in Miami, the Bills came home and SMOKED the Jaguars, 47-10. Last season, after another trip to South Beach, the Buffs returned North for a wild card playoff game and rocked the Steelers, 31-17. They played in L.A. against the Chargers, came home and posted a 27-21 W against the Patriots and after a game in K.C., the Buffs roughed up the Cowboys, 31-10.

So, coming to Highmark Stadium after a road game, the Bills are on a 4-0 run and have outscored the opposition 136-58. That's an average of 19.5 points per game and since the spread is only 8.5, this looks like another easy breezy win for those guys that circle the wagons.

Titans vs Bills Prop Picks — Week 7

Josh Allen O1.5 TD's (+105) at Bet365

Gonna roll with Buffalo QB Josh Allen Over 1.5 TDs. Allen has had some issues on the road, but when it comes to playing at home, it’s MAGIC! Josh threw two TDs against the Cardinals four TDs against the Jaguars. Bank of Benj wide open for the OVER.

Tennessee Titans vs Buffalo Bills Betting Trends