The two greatest 3-point shooters in NBA history square off on Monday night when the Los Angeles Clippers host the Golden State Warriors, and oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook are listing the visitors as the 4.5-point favorites at the Intuit Dome.
Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop expert pick for this Pacific Division showdown on November 18, 2024.
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Odds
Odds as of November 18, 2024 at FanDuel
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Expert Picks
The Clippers will be competing on the second night of a back-to-back slate after defeating the Utah Jazz by 11 points on Sunday. James Harden broke a tie with Reggie Miller for second place on the all-time 3-pointers made list (2,975) during that game, but still trails Stephen Curry by a substantial margin (3,782).
This will mark the second meeting between Golden State and Los Angeles through the first month of the campaign, as the Clippers prevailed 112-104 back on Oct. 27. It was the fourth-straight victory by the Clippers in this particular matchup dating back to last season, with the Warriors' last win against Los Angeles coming on November 30, 2023.
Golden State sits atop the Western Conference with a 10-2 record SU and will certainly be looking to avenge on of its two blemishes against a tired Clippers squad, albeit one that's 2-1 SU when suiting up on no rest. Both teams also rank near the top of the Association in ATS, as well, with the Warriors having covered in all but one of their 10 victories while Los Angeles isn't too far back with an 8-6 record ATS.
Considering Golden State has dropped just once game in its last nine tries, and that one loss came against the lone undefeated team still standing in basketball, the road side should rightfully be favored here even though it has fallen once already to the Clippers. A 4.5-point spread isn't large enough to think Los Angeles will cover under these circumstances, even though it's a respectable 5-4 ATS when underdogs of at least that many points.
OVER 226.5 Total Points (-110)
The Warriors are riding a seven-game streak of hitting the OVER on total props, resulting in them having the second-best overall record in that department at 9-3 just behind the Atlanta Hawks at 11-3.
The Clippers rank near the bottom in OVER/UNDER at 5-8-1, but even so, Golden State's offense should carry this game to an OVER despite the last meeting reaching an UNDER. Let's take the optimistic approach here even with Los Angeles' fatigued legs.
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Player Prop
Ivica Zubac OVER 28.5 Points + Rebounds (-113)
As deep as the Warriors are on the depth chart, their lack of size in the interior remains a cause for concern, as larger and stronger frontcourt players can put up big numbers against the likes of 6-foot-9 Trayce Jackson-Davis and veteran backup Kevon Looney.
Ivica Zubac, for example, had a double-double of 23 points and 18 rebounds across 38 minutes on Oct. 27 with little resistance. He's also averaging 19.7 points and 14 boards on no rest this season, and is coming off a 22-point, 11-rebound showing against Utah.
He hasn't hit the OVER on his points + rebounds prop in consecutive games since the very start of the schedule, but I'm still leaning towards an OVER here based on the clear advantages he'll have around the basket.
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Trends
- Norman Powell has failed to exceed 2.5 rebounds in five of his last six games at home (1.8 rebounds/game average).
- James Harden has failed to exceed 21.5 points in five-straight games vs. top-10 defenses for points allowed (17.2 points/game average).
*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier